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deciqAI Knowledge Skills

Open-source thinking-framework skills that make rigorous reasoning executable for AI agents.

237 composable mental models — packaged as installable Agent Skills. Each turns a reasoning method that usually lives in a book into a step-by-step process an AI agent can actually run, with worked historical examples and cited sources.

License: MIT · Built by deciqAI · Contributions welcome


Install

Add all 237 skills:

npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills

List what's inside, or grab a single skill:

npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills --list
npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills --skill first-principles

Each folder is also a self-contained SKILL.md with examples/ and references/ — copy it into your agent's skills directory directly if you prefer.

Useful? Star this repo — stars are how other agent builders find it.


The skills

Skill Live What it does
10 10 10 ↗ Faced with a non-trivial decision, ask three questions: How will I feel in 10 minutes? In 10 months? In 10 years? The three horizons are spaced an order of magnitude apart to surfa
Aarrr Pirate Metrics ↗ A startup's growth is a sequential funnel — each stage gates the next.
Abductive Reasoning ↗ Abduction — inference to the best explanation — is the only mode of reasoning that introduces new ideas.
Activation Onboarding Playbook ↗ Activation is the moment a new user first experiences real value — the "aha moment" — and the single biggest lever on retention and revenue for most products/services.
Anchoring ↗ When people estimate an unknown quantity they start from a reference point — an anchor — and adjust.
Ansoff Matrix ↗ Every growth option a firm has falls into one of four quadrants defined by two axes: existing vs.
Antifragile ↗ Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2012) identified a third response to stress beyond fragile/robust: antifragile — systems that gain from disorder, with bounded downside and unbounded upside.
Ar Dso Discipline ↗ Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) is the average time to collect after a sale.
Arrow Information Paradox ↗ You have something valuable to sell — a technology, a formula, a method, a dataset, a research result.
Authority Bias ↗ Authority bias is the automatic tendency to comply with directives from authority figures — often overriding one's own judgment, ethics, or evidence.
Availability Heuristic ↗ The availability heuristic: people estimate probability by how easily examples come to mind.
Batna Zopa ↗ BATNA (Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement) is the value of your best fallback if no deal happens — the floor below which you walk away.
Bayesian Reasoning ↗ Bayes' theorem: Posterior odds = Prior odds × Likelihood ratio.
Bcg Matrix ↗ Maps each business unit on a 2×2 grid of market growth rate vs.
Black Swan ↗ Taleb (2007): a black swan is (1) outside all prior expectations, (2) extreme impact, (3) obvious in hindsight only.
Blue Ocean Strategy ↗ Most competitive strategy assumes industry boundaries are fixed.
Bootstrapping Vs Raising ↗ Raising venture capital is not a milestone; it's a choice that commits you to a specific outcome — a large, fast, high-multiple exit — because that's the only outcome that pays bac
Bullseye Traction Channels ↗ From Traction (Weinberg & Mares, 2014): most startups die from lack of distribution, not product, and they fail because they over-invest in one favored channel instead of systemati
Business Model Canvas ↗ A business creates, delivers, and captures value through nine interlocking blocks (Customer Segments, Value Propositions, Channels, Customer Relationships, Revenue Streams, Key Res
Cash Conversion Cycle ↗ The cash conversion cycle (CCC) measures how long cash is trapped between paying suppliers and collecting from customers: CCC = DIO (days inventory) + DSO (days receivables) − DPO
Change And Constants ↗ Every strategy contains elements that must change and elements that must not.
Checklist ↗ A checklist is a short written list of must-not-skip steps for a complex repeated operation.
Chestertons Fence ↗ Before removing a rule, process, code path, or institution — you must understand why it was put there.
Circle Of Competence ↗ Every decision-maker has a domain where judgments are reliable (inside the circle) and one where they are not (outside).
Cognitive Evolution Stages ↗ Most learning models treat acquisition as the final destination.
Cognitive Load Theory ↗ Working memory holds ~4 chunks of novel information — a hard limit.
Cognitive Science Landscape ↗ Eight interconnected domains constitute human cognition: (1) Perception & Attention, (2) Memory, (3) Language & Thought, (4) Decision Making & Judgment, (5) Metacognition, (6) Emot
Commitment Consistency ↗ Small commitments today dramatically raise the probability of large commitments tomorrow — people have a strong drive to behave consistently with prior choices, especially ones tha
Comparative Advantage ↗ Mutually beneficial specialization depends on relative productivity, not absolute.
Compound Interest ↗ Compound interest: a quantity grows at a rate proportional to its current size — growth itself grows — producing exponential accumulation.
Confirmation Bias ↗ Confirmation bias is the systematic tendency to seek, interpret, remember, and weight evidence in ways that support existing beliefs — and to correspondingly miss disconfirming evi
Content Led Growth ↗ Content-led growth turns a website into a compounding acquisition asset by covering the topics your buyers search, organized as pillar + cluster pages that build topical authority.
Continuous Discovery ↗ Continuous discovery (Teresa Torres, Continuous Discovery Habits, 2021) replaces one-off research with a weekly cadence of customer touchpoints by the team building the product, st
Contrarian Question ↗ Peter Thiel opens Zero to One (2014) with an interview question he says he asks constantly: "What important truth do very few people agree with you on?" Its business translation as
CPA Doc Chase ↗
CPA Form Finder ↗
CPA IRS Representation ↗
CPA Return Review ↗
Critical Thinking ↗ Critical thinking evaluates a conclusion by explicitly testing it against alternative interpretations — the conclusion that survives the most disconfirmation attempts is the one to
Cross Disciplinary Creativity ↗ Importing an actual mechanism from a foreign domain and applying it structurally to a home-domain problem — producing a configuration no expert in either field could conceive alone
Curiosity Learning Curve ↗ Biological learning capacity remains measurable into the 70s and 80s.
Customer Relationship Ladder ↗ Most B2B teams treat relationship deepening as an attitude problem — be friendlier, schedule more QBRs.
Customs Adcvd Tariff Exposure ↗
Customs Duty Optimization Opportunity Cost ↗
Customs Hts Classification Mece ↗
Customs Origin Usmca Decision ↗
Customs Reasonable Care Isf Checklist ↗
Cynefin ↗ Cynefin (pronounced "kuh-NEV-in"; Welsh for "habitat") is a sense-making framework by Dave Snowden (IBM, 1999).
Death Spiral ↗ A death spiral is a self-reinforcing negative feedback loop in competitive markets.
Decision Tree ↗ A decision tree maps a multi-stage decision: decision nodes (squares) for choices you control, chance nodes (circles) for outcomes you don't, probabilities on every branch, payoffs
Deep Work ↗ Cal Newport's framework (2016): deep work = undistracted, cognitively demanding activity that creates hard-to-replicate value; shallow work = logistical, responsive, easy-to-replic
Definite Optimism ↗ In Zero to One (2014, ch.
Deliberate Practice ↗ Most people confuse repetition with learning — they accumulate years of experience and plateau.
Demand Leadership ↗ The highest-value market position is not to fulfill demand but to define it — to become the entity whose framing of the problem the customer adopts as their own.
Design Thinking ↗ Design thinking — formalized by Tim Brown at IDEO and Stanford's d.school, grounded in Simon (1969) and Rittel's "wicked problems" — replaces assumption-driven decisions with evide
Dichotomy Of Control ↗ Separate what is within your power (judgments, intentions, voluntary actions) from what is not (outcomes, others' actions, external events) — then direct effort to the first and ac
Discovery Call Spin ↗ SPIN Selling (Neil Rackham, from large-sale research) structures a discovery call around four question types in order — Situation, Problem, Implication, Need-payoff — so the buyer
Disruptive Innovation ↗ Most incumbents fail not because they make bad decisions, but because they make good ones.
Do Things That Dont Scale ↗ Paul Graham's counterintuitive rule: early on, the unscalable is exactly what you should do.
Door In The Face ↗ Ask for something large (expect refusal), then retreat to the smaller request you actually wanted.
Dual System Thinking ↗ Two parallel modes: System 1 — fast, automatic, effortless (pattern recognition, gut feel).
Dunbars Number ↗ Dunbar's number (~150) is the cognitive limit on stable social groups the human neocortex can sustain, with nested layers at ~5, ~15, ~50, then outer bands at ~500 and ~1,500.
Dunning Kruger ↗ The Dunning-Kruger effect is the systematic self-assessment asymmetry demonstrated by Kruger & Dunning (1999): bottom-quartile performers overestimate rank by ~50 percentile points
Dynamic Core Competence ↗ Core competence (Prahalad & Hamel, 1990) becomes dynamic when you recognize that competences decay, markets change what they reward, and building sequence matters.
Economic Moat ↗ An economic moat is the durable, structural competitive advantage that protects a business's returns on capital from being competed away.
Economies Of Scale ↗ Average cost per unit falls as output rises — fixed costs spread thinner, specialization deepens, and learning compounds.
Emergence ↗ Emergence: many interacting parts produce whole-level properties that cannot be predicted from the parts alone.
Endowment Effect ↗ People demand roughly 2× more to give up something they own than they would pay to acquire the identical thing — purely because they own it.
Estimated Tax Safety Buffer ↗
Expected Value And Kelly ↗ Two questions decide most repeated bets: is this bet good? (EV) and how big? (Kelly).
Falsifiability ↗ A meaningful empirical claim must specify what observations would refute it.
Feedback Loops ↗ A system has a feedback loop when its output circles back as input to the next cycle.
Feynman Technique ↗ The Feynman Technique tests whether understanding is genuine (can reproduce, predict, extend) or surface (can recognize, recall jargon).
First Mover Advantage ↗ Lieberman and Montgomery's 1988 landmark paper established both the mechanisms of first-mover advantage and, with equal rigor, the mechanisms of first-mover disadvantage that make
First Principles ↗ Most reasoning is reasoning by analogy: X resembles Y, so do what Y does.
Founder Burnout Sustainability ↗ In a small company the founder is the critical infrastructure: when their energy, health, or judgment fails, the company fails.
Founder Led Sales ↗ Before product-market fit, the founder must run sales personally — not because it scales, but because it's the fastest, highest-fidelity discovery loop and the only way to learn wh
Founder Mindset ↗ A specific cognitive mode for running an early-stage company — different from manager mindset (optimizing known systems) and employee mindset (executing within fixed scope).
Founder Trajectory Matrix ↗ Founders diverge along two behavioral axes: (1) actively seeking mentors vs.
Framing Effect ↗ The framing effect: logically equivalent descriptions of the same decision produce different choices depending on whether outcomes are cast as gains or losses.
Freight Carrier Vetting Checklist ↗
Freight Double Brokering Exposure ↗
Freight Lane Pricing Decision ↗
Freight Shipper Carrier Principal Agent ↗
Fundamental Attribution Error ↗ The fundamental attribution error (FAE) is the systematic tendency to over-weight character factors and under-weight situational factors when explaining others' behavior — while re
Goodharts Law ↗ Goodhart's Law: when a metric controls behavior, people optimize the metric rather than the underlying goal.
Gravity Field Empowerment ↗ Most improvement frameworks measure interventions by immediate effect — quarter-over-quarter lift, year-one ROI.
Halo Effect ↗ A single positive or negative impression biases judgments of all unrelated attributes.
Hanlons Razor ↗ Before assuming someone hurt you on purpose, construct the version where they made a mistake — and see how much evidence it explains.
Herzberg Two Factor ↗ Herzberg's 1959 Pittsburgh study found satisfaction and dissatisfaction are two independent axes.
Hidden Elite Advantages ↗ Top performers' results stem from nine hidden advantage dimensions — not visible actions.
Hindsight Bias ↗ Hindsight bias — the "I knew it all along" effect — is the tendency, after learning an outcome, to misremember your prior judgment as having been closer to that outcome than it act
Hyperbolic Discounting ↗ People discount the near future far more steeply than the distant future, producing dynamically inconsistent preferences: patient choices for next month reverse when next month arr
Incentive Design ↗ Behavior follows incentives more reliably than character, intent, or training.
Incremental Vs Leap Growth ↗ The most common strategic error is applying the wrong growth mode to a goal.
Industry Learning Sprint ↗ A structured 3-step process (financial reports → expert dialogue → unique view) for building a working industry mental model in approximately one week.
Insurance Agent Compliance Checklist ↗
Insurance Coverage Gap Premortem ↗
Insurance Renewal Retention Ladder ↗
Insurance Suitability Principal Agent ↗
Intrinsic Drive ↗ Intrinsic motivation is a portfolio of distinct sources — not a binary switch.
Inversion ↗ Most planning asks "how do I win?" and runs forward from there.
Jobs To Be Done ↗ People don't buy products — they hire products to do a job (make progress in a specific circumstance, across functional, emotional, and social dimensions).
K Factor Viral ↗ K = i × c, where i = average invites per existing user, c = conversion rate into new activated users.
Knowing And Doing As One ↗ When you say "I know I should but I just don't do it," the standard explanation is a failure of willpower.
Kotter Change ↗ John Kotter built this model from studying one hundred corporate transformations — most failed.
Landing Page Conversion ↗ A landing page converts when a visitor, in seconds, understands what it is, who it's for, why it's better, and what to do next — with nothing in the way.
Last Mover Advantage ↗ Most founders and strategists treat "first" as the prize: enter before anyone else and the market is yours.
Lateral Thinking ↗ Lateral thinking is the discipline of solving problems by approaching them from unexpected angles — not by going deeper along an existing logical path but by moving sideways to a n
Latticework ↗ Latticework is the practice of cross-wiring mental models from multiple disciplines on the same situation.
Lean Startup ↗ A startup is a temporary organization searching for a repeatable, scalable business model under extreme uncertainty (Steve Blank).
Lifestage Value Curve ↗ Different life stages create different competitive advantages and demand different investments.
Lindy Effect ↗ For non-perishable items — ideas, books, technologies, institutions, practices — life expectancy is proportional to current age.
Logical Fallacies ↗ A fallacy is an argument that looks like it works but doesn't.
Loss Aversion Prospect Theory ↗ People evaluate outcomes relative to a reference point (not absolute wealth), weight losses ~2.25x as heavily as equivalent gains, are risk-averse in gain frames and risk-seeking i
Manager Development Spectrum ↗ Most leadership programs target skill acquisition.
Map Is Not The Territory ↗ Any representation — metric, model, strategy deck, org chart, or process manual — is a selective, simplified, aging abstraction.
Margin Of Safety ↗ Benjamin Graham introduced margin of safety in Security Analysis (1934) as the founding principle of value investing: buy assets at prices substantially below your estimate of intr
Maslow Hierarchy ↗ Maslow's Hierarchy proposes needs organize into levels of prepotency — lower needs must be at least partially met before higher needs become motivationally dominant.
Mece ↗ MECE is a decomposition principle: break a problem, set of options, or population into sub-groups that are Mutually Exclusive (no overlap) and Collectively Exhaustive (no gaps) — e
Metacognition ↗ Metacognition is the live monitoring loop during reasoning — "am I doing this right now; what strategy am I using; should I switch?" — not after-the-fact reflection.
Middle Way ↗ 中庸 (Zhongyong) is Confucian philosophy attributed to Zisi (c.
Minimum Viable Audience ↗ The Minimum Viable Audience (Seth Godin) is the smallest group of people whose problem you can solve so well they tell others — the deliberate opposite of appealing to everyone.
Minsky Moment ↗ A Minsky Moment is the point at which a leveraged financial system tips from apparent stability into rapid self-reinforcing collapse — caused by the internal dynamic of debt accumu
Momentum And Form ↗ Competitive advantage is two distinct things, not one: form (形, xíng) — the structural stock built before any contest (capital, distribution, brand, product, org capability) — and
Monopoly Vs Competition ↗ Under perfect competition, no firm makes economic profit: entrants arrive until price equals marginal cost, and every player fights for scraps while telling itself the fight builds
Mortgage Lo Comp Respa Design ↗
Mortgage Loan Fallout Premortem ↗
Mortgage Loan Program Matching ↗
Mortgage Rate Negotiation Anchoring ↗
Mortgage Trid Timeline Checklist ↗
Mr Market ↗ Mr.
Mvp ↗ An MVP is not a small version of your product — it is a test instrument: the smallest artifact that produces trustworthy evidence about one specific demand-side assumption, with th
Narrative Fallacy ↗ The narrative fallacy is the tendency to construct retrospective causal stories that make past events seem inevitable — even when those events were largely random or contingent.
Narrow Gate Strategy ↗ The narrow gate is the path that is genuinely difficult, genuinely right, and genuinely compounding — avoided by most who prefer immediate legibility over long-term leverage.
Nash Equilibrium ↗ A Nash equilibrium is a stable point in multi-player interaction: a combination of strategies where no player can improve their payoff by unilaterally changing their own strategy,
Network Effects ↗ Some products get more valuable the more people use them — not because the company gets cheaper at scale, but because each user makes the product more useful to every other user.
Neurological Levels ↗ Robert Dilts' Neurological Levels maps how change propagates through a 6-level hierarchy (grounded in Bateson 1972): change at a HIGHER level cascades down automatically; change at
Nine Level Cognitive Tower ↗ The Nine-Level Cognitive Tower (九层塔) disaggregates cognitive development into nine distinct operating levels, each with observable behavioral signatures.
Non Consensus Thinking ↗ Every market — capital, talent, customers, ideas — prices the consensus view into its current state.
Non Zero Sum ↗ A non-zero-sum interaction is one where mutual gain (or mutual loss) is possible — the parties' outcomes do not simply cancel each other out.
North Star Metric ↗ The North Star Metric (NSM) is the single metric that most directly measures value delivered to customers and predicts revenue over time.
Nudge Theory ↗ People procrastinate on retirement savings, skip vaccine appointments, and leave privacy settings on dangerous defaults — not from ignorance, but because the choice environment wor
Objection Handling ↗ Objections are information, not rejection.
Occams Razor ↗ When several explanations all fit the evidence, prefer the one that assumes the least.
Okr Goal Setting ↗ OKRs separate ambition from measurement: an Objective is qualitative and aspirational; Key Results (3-5) are quantitative outcomes proving the objective was reached.
Ooda Loop ↗ Colonel John Boyd (1927-1997) derived the OODA Loop from Korean War air-combat data: the F-86 Sabre achieved a ~10:1 kill ratio over the technically superior MiG-15 because better
Opportunity Cost ↗ Opportunity cost is the true cost of any choice: the value of the next-best alternative you give up.
Organic Plus Extension Growth ↗ Organic growth builds value from within (product, operations, retention, unit economics).
Overseas Expansion Framework ↗ International expansion forks into two models: Spirit Expansion (精神出海) — product/IP travels digitally or via exported goods, no local presence required — and Physical Expansion (实体
Pareto Principle ↗ In most real systems, a small fraction of inputs produces the majority of outputs.
Peak End Rule ↗ People remember experiences not by averaging all moments but by sampling two: the peak (highest emotional intensity) and the end.
Pmf Crossing The Chasm ↗ Two distinct questions decide early-stage growth: (1) PMF — do enough users love the product they'd be very disappointed without it? (2) Chasm — can you move from early adopters (t
Point Line Plane Solid ↗ Maps competitive position across four strategic dimensions: Point (one capability, easily copied) → Line (integrated pipeline, integration is the asset) → Plane (platform/ecosystem
Porters Five Forces ↗ Some industries earn 30%+ margins decade after decade; others fail to earn their cost of capital despite intelligent, well-funded firms.
Positioning Obviously Awesome ↗ Positioning (April Dunford, Obviously Awesome, 2019) is the context you set so customers instantly understand why your product is great for them.
Power Law Distribution ↗ A power-law distribution is a statistical distribution where probability of size x is proportional to x^(−α): large events are rare but far more probable than a Gaussian model pred
Premortem ↗ Before committing to a plan, the team imagines that plan has already failed catastrophically, then works backward to enumerate causes.
Pricing Strategy ↗ Price is a structural decision, not a calculated number.
Principal Agent ↗ One party (the principal) delegates to another (the agent) whose interests differ and whose actions can't be fully observed — producing agency cost: monitoring spend + agent bondin
Prisoners Dilemma ↗ Whatever the other party does, each player is individually better off defecting — so both defect, and both end up worse than mutual cooperation.
Probabilistic Thinking ↗ Most reasoning is binary: will it happen, or won't it? That framing discards the most useful information — the degree of confidence — and produces predictions that cannot be checke
Ramen Profitability ↗ Ramen profitability (Paul Graham) = the startup makes just enough to cover the founders' basic living costs.
Realtor Closing Experience Peak End ↗
Realtor Price Reduction Decision ↗
Realtor Sphere Of Influence Ladder ↗
Realtor Transaction Fair Housing Checklist ↗
Reciprocity ↗ The rule of reciprocity — if someone gives you something, you owe them something back — recurs across virtually every documented human culture (Mauss 1925; Gouldner 1960).
Red Queen Effect ↗ The Red Queen Effect: competitors must continuously improve just to maintain relative position — because everyone else is improving simultaneously.
Referral Loop Design ↗ A referral loop is a repeatable cycle where using the product produces new users: a happy customer is prompted, at the right moment, with the right incentive and an easy share, and
Regression To The Mean ↗ Regression to the mean is the statistical regularity that any noisy measurement producing an extreme value tends to be followed on retest by a less-extreme value — because the extr
Regret Minimization ↗ Most frameworks optimize expected value — pick the highest probability-weighted payoff.
Repeated Games Reputation ↗ When parties repeat — or third parties observe — defection costs tomorrow's cooperation, flipping the Prisoner's Dilemma.
Representativeness Heuristic ↗ The representativeness heuristic is judging probability by how closely something resembles a prototype — overriding actual base rates.
Resource Integration Hierarchy ↗ Most organizations operate well below their potential resource access.
Resource Time Compression ↗ Most plans estimate how long each step takes and add them up — producing a multi-year sequential path that reflects a solo, resource-constrained default.
Reverse Information Paradox ↗ When you buy intelligence from an external AI, you pay for it twice.
Ria Adv Crs Compliance Checklist ↗
Ria Client Behavior Coaching ↗
Ria Client Margin Of Safety ↗
Ria Fiduciary Conflict Disclosure ↗
Ria Position Sizing Kelly ↗
S Curve Technology Adoption ↗ Innovations spread on a sigmoid (S-shaped) curve: slow → accelerating → leveling off at saturation.
Scenario Planning ↗ Scenario planning accepts that certain futures are genuinely unknowable and prepares for several of them rather than betting on one forecast.
Second Curve ↗ Every business follows an S-curve: slow start, steep growth, peak, then decline.
Second Order Thinking ↗ First-level thinking asks "what will happen?" and stops.
Self Evolution 3d ↗ Treats personal growth as three orthogonal dimensions — Height (mission vantage), Width (perspective breadth), Depth (self-awareness accuracy) — each with a distinct mechanism and
Self Renewal ↗ Self-renewal is the structured practice of identifying which mental models have passed their expiry date and genuinely updating — not merely annotating — them.
Seven Questions Test ↗ Most business failures are not bad luck — they are unexamined answers.
Shi Momentum ↗ 势 (shì) is the propensity of a situation to evolve in a direction — a wave you read and ride, not power you exert.
Signaling Games ↗ One party knows something the other cannot verify.
Situational Leadership ↗ Match your leadership style to each person's development level on each specific task — cycling through four styles (Directing, Coaching, Supporting, Delegating) as competence and c
Six Thinking Hats ↗ Six Thinking Hats (Edward de Bono, 1985) prevents the most common meeting failure: different thinking modes colliding simultaneously.
Social Proof ↗ Social proof: we judge what is correct, normal, or worth doing by observing what others — especially similar others — are doing.
Sop Systemization ↗ A Standard Operating Procedure captures a recurring task as a documented, repeatable sequence so it can be handed to a person or an AI agent and produce the same result without you
Status Quo Bias ↗ Status quo bias is the systematic preference for the current state over available alternatives — even when alternatives are objectively superior by the person's own values.
Strategic Commitment ↗ Strategic commitment converts "I might do X" into "I will do X" — not through rhetoric but by changing payoff structure so follow-through is the rational move.
Strategic Execution 3d9 ↗ Execution failure is the most expensive strategy problem in organizations — not because strategies are wrong, but because organizations underinvest in the capability infrastructure
Strategic Spiral Momentum ↗ Strategic Spiral Momentum maps organizational strategy as a 10-phase cyclical spiral: 谋势 (plan) → 蓄势 (store) → 造势 (create) → 借势 (leverage) → 起势 (launch) → 乘势 (ride) → 定势 (stabilize
Strategy Execution Levers ↗ Most organizations apply a single intervention — a town hall, a kickoff — then diagnose failure as a communication problem.
Structured Communication ↗ Most communication failure is a failure of sequence and mode — not information.
Sunk Cost Fallacy ↗ The sunk-cost fallacy is the tendency to let prior, irrecoverable investments (money, time, effort, reputation) distort current decisions.
Survivorship Bias ↗ Survivorship bias is drawing conclusions from a sample pre-filtered by survival — treating survivor traits as the cause of survival when non-survivors (absent from data by definiti
Switching Costs ↗ Switching costs are everything a customer must pay, learn, redo, or risk to move from one product to another — financial, learning, data migration, integration, process, relational
Swot Analysis ↗ SWOT maps internal Strengths/Weaknesses against external Opportunities/Threats, then generates strategies via TOWS cross-matrix (SO/ST/WO/WT).
T Shaped Connector ↗ The T-shaped metaphor (deep vertical + broad horizontal) is widely used but rarely validated.
Tax Filing Position Consequences ↗
Tax Prep 8867 Due Diligence ↗
Tax Prep Pre File Audit Premortem ↗
Tax Season Throughput Constraints ↗
The Mom Test ↗ The Mom Test (Rob Fitzpatrick, 2013) is a way to talk to customers so that even your mom can't give you a false positive.
Theory Of Constraints ↗ Theory of Constraints (TOC) — Eliyahu Goldratt, 1984: throughput of any multi-step system is determined by its single bottleneck.
Thought Experiment ↗ A thought experiment is structured reasoning: construct a scenario, trace logical consequences of explicit premises, examine the result for contradiction, hidden assumptions, or ne
Thousand True Fans ↗ Kevin Kelly's model: to make a living, a creator or niche business doesn't need millions — it needs ~1,000 true fans who will buy essentially anything you make.
Three Radius Model ↗ Three distinct circles govern performance: what you understand (cognition radius), what you can do (capability radius), and what you actually do (action radius).
Thucydides Trap ↗ Thucydides's Trap is the structural danger that emerges when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power — producing fear in the established power that makes conflict more
Timing Action Matrix ↗ Most frameworks ask: "Is this the right action?" Timing is an independent variable of equal weight — a brilliant action at the wrong time fails because of timing, not the action.
Tipping Point ↗ A tipping point is the threshold at which gradually accumulating change produces a sudden, self-reinforcing reorganization of a system.
Tragedy Of The Commons ↗ When a shared resource has individual access but no individual responsibility for preservation, rational users extract private benefit while the cost of overuse is shared — leading
Travel Cancellation Refund Decision ↗
Travel Commission Markup Pricing ↗
Travel Experience Peak End Design ↗
Travel Repeat Client Ladder ↗
Travel Trip Contingency Planning ↗
Trust Brand Architecture ↗ Brand trust builds through three sequential layers: Functional Trust (does the product do what it claims?) → Emotional Trust (does this brand handle problems with empathy?) → Ident
Tunnel Vision Slack ↗ When urgent demands consume all your bandwidth, the future becomes cognitively inaccessible — not a choice, but a structural block.
Unit Economics Cac Ltv Payback ↗ Unit economics answer one question: does one customer make or lose money, and how fast do you get the money back? Growth on broken unit economics accelerates losses.
US Business Registry Open Data ↗ Several US states publish their entire business registry — every LLC, corporation, and nonprofit ever registered — as open data on Socrata portals, explicitly in the public domain
User Insight Engine ↗ User research produces data.
Utilitarianism ↗ Utilitarianism holds that the right action produces the greatest net well-being across all affected parties, weighted by magnitude and probability.
Value Chain Analysis ↗ Porter (1985) separates firm activities into primary (inbound logistics, operations, outbound logistics, marketing/sales, service) and support (firm infrastructure, HR management,
Voltage Effect ↗ The voltage effect is John A.
When To Make First Hires ↗ Early hires are the highest-variance, highest-cost decisions a small founder makes: too early burns runway on unvalidated work; too late caps growth and burns the founder out.
Winners Curse ↗ The winner's curse is the systematic tendency, in a common-value auction — one where every bidder is estimating the same uncertain value from noisy private signals — for the winner
Wu Wei ↗ Wu wei (无为) — Daoist principle (Daodejing, ~4th century BCE): act without forcing, not without acting.
Zero Sum Game ↗ Zero-sum means total value is fixed — one player's gain is another's exact loss.
Zero To One Secrets ↗ Every great business is built around a secret: an important truth that is knowable but that few people know.

Live version & agent metadata

Every skill footer points agents to https://www.deciqai.com/s/<skill>.json — a machine-readable endpoint returning the skill's definition, the latest raw SKILL.md URL, and its live playbook page. Agents can fetch it to check for a newer version before relying on time-sensitive content (benchmarks, regulations, pricing norms).

Transparency: these are plain, anonymous HTTP requests — the skills contain no telemetry, no identifiers, and work fully offline. The endpoint exists so installed copies can stay current; fetching it is always optional.

Want these skills to act instead of just reason? deciqAI agents run them autonomously against your live business data — start free.


Scope & disclaimer

Every skill in this library is guidance, not professional advice. Nothing here is legal, tax, accounting, financial, investment, insurance, or regulatory advice, and using a skill creates no professional relationship of any kind.

Skills covering regulated work deliberately carry no thresholds, rates, dollar limits, or filing dates — those expire, and a copy frozen in a prompt file is a liability rather than a feature. Every such question is routed to current authority instead. See CATALOG.md for which skills carry that constraint and why.

The output of a skill is a draft for a qualified person to review, correct, and own. Where a matter carries a professional duty, a licensing requirement, or a filing consequence, the credentialed practitioner who acts owns the decision — not the skill, not the agent running it, and not this repository.

Provided as-is under the MIT License, which includes its warranty and liability terms.


Contributing

New skills and improvements to existing ones are welcome — see CONTRIBUTING.md for the skill anatomy, the template, and quality bars.


These are the same 237 skills wired into every deciqAI agent — which runs them autonomously to operate your company.

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Open-source thinking-framework skills that make rigorous reasoning executable for AI agents — first-principles, inversion, second-order thinking, Occam's razor, Bayesian reasoning. Built by deciqAI.

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